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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
QPR logo

Stoke
0 - 1
QPR


Campbell (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adomah (48')
Laird (20'), Field (53'), Amos (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Stoke
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-2 QPR
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Queens Park Rangers

Stoke have allowed their season to fizzle out over the last few games and now face a tough assignment against a QPR side full of talent despite their league standing. The R's have earned notable results at West Bromwich Albion and Burnley during their last two away matches, and we believe their travelling fans will have another success to celebrate on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 54.58%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Queens Park Rangers would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
54.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 21.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.84% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.103 -0.1)49.96% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.093 -0.09)71.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)18.2% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (-0.07 -0.07)49.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)37.85% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)74.62% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 54.57%
    Queens Park Rangers 21.45%
    Draw 23.97%
Stoke CityDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.57%
1-1 @ 11.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 21.45%

How you voted: Stoke vs QPR

Stoke City
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park Rangers
44.4%
27
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Taylor (87')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Stoke
1-0
QPR
Brown (45+1')

Dunne (13')
Dec 5, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 21
QPR
0-2
Stoke
Campbell (14'), Vrancic (78')
Fox (53')
May 1, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Stoke
0-2
QPR

Brown (86')
Austin (17'), Kakay (70')
Barbet (28'), Bonne (90')
Dec 15, 2020 5.30pm
gameweek 19
QPR
0-0
Stoke

Barbet (31'), Hamalainen (50')

Souttar (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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