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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.54%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
25.4% ( 1.75) | 24.06% ( 0.44) | 50.54% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 55.2% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.54% ( -0.26) | 46.45% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.26% ( -0.25) | 68.73% ( 0.25) |
Queens Park Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.65% ( 1.34) | 32.34% ( -1.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( 1.49) | 68.85% ( -1.49) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.58% ( -0.93) | 18.41% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.42% ( -1.6) | 49.57% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.4% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.43) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.24) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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