We said: Sturm Graz 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain
Already two matches into their competitive schedule, Sturm Graz's sharpness could give them a much-needed advantage as they take on the French champions on Wednesday night.
PSG are likely to make a raft of substitutions during the contest which could result in a disjointed performance, but we still believe that Les Parisiens will have enough quality to commence their pre-season plans with victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Sturm Graz win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.