Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
PSG1 - 3Toulouse
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Toulouse
Neither PSG nor Toulouse need over-exert themselves in a match where only pride is on the line, but Enrique's men are still searching for the formula for defensive success at home, while Les Violets have made a habit of shining on the road of late. Martinez's men are actually the second-best performing Ligue 1 team away from home in 2024 behind PSG, but Nicolaisen's ban is a significant blow, and on this occasion, we have faith in Les Parisiens to finally put some of their chances away en route to a recovery win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
67.55% ( 0.1) | 17.68% ( -0.05) | 14.78% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
