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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Toulouse

PSG
1 - 3
Toulouse

Mbappe (8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dallinga (13'), Gboho (68'), Magri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Dortmund
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Toulouse

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Toulouse

 Neither PSG nor Toulouse need over-exert themselves in a match where only pride is on the line, but Enrique's men are still searching for the formula for defensive success at home, while Les Violets have made a habit of shining on the road of late. Martinez's men are actually the second-best performing Ligue 1 team away from home in 2024 behind PSG, but Nicolaisen's ban is a significant blow, and on this occasion, we have faith in Les Parisiens to finally put some of their chances away en route to a recovery win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 67.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
67.55% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 17.68% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 14.78% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.49% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.63% (0.11099999999999 0.11)32.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46% (0.128 0.13)53.99% (-0.129 -0.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.17% (0.050000000000011 0.05)8.82% (-0.049900000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.75% (0.123 0.12)30.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.25% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)34.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)71.48% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 67.55%
    Toulouse 14.78%
    Draw 17.68%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawToulouse
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.44% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.28% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 67.55%
1-1 @ 7.87% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 14.78%

How you voted: PSG vs Toulouse

Paris Saint-Germain
85.3%
Draw
10.7%
Toulouse
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2024 7.45pm
Final
PSG
2-0
Toulouse
Kang-in (3'), Mbappe (44')
Vitinha (46'), Hernandez (77')

Suazo (45+1')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Toulouse
1-1
PSG
Aboukhlal (87' pen.)
Mbappe (62' pen.)
Kang-in (45+1'), Ugarte (81'), Donnarumma (85')
> Preview
Feb 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 22
PSG
2-1
Toulouse
Hakimi (38'), Messi (58')
Van den Boomen (20')
> Preview
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Toulouse
0-3
PSG

Ratao (64')
Neymar (37'), Mbappe (50'), Bernat (90')
> Preview
May 9, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 36
Toulouse
P-P
PSG
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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