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Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Both sides are struggling at the moment and there are no clear favorites heading into this one. We think this game will end in a draw with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
42.08% (-1.95 -1.95) 24.62% (0.24 0.24) 33.3% (1.712 1.71)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.494 -0.49)44.47% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.479 -0.48)66.84% (0.48 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-1.084 -1.08)21.2% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-1.71 -1.71)54.08% (1.714 1.71)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.816 0.82)25.81% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (1.091 1.09)60.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.08%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 24.61%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.264 0.26)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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