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Tranmere Rovers
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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Swindon Town

Tranmere
2 - 1
Swindon

Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

 Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
39.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 36.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.175 0.17)41.18% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.17599999999999 0.18)63.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.096999999999994 0.1)21.17% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.155 0.16)54.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)22.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.104 0.1)55.82% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.14%
    Swindon Town 36.8%
    Draw 24.05%
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Swindon

Tranmere Rovers
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Swindon Town
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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