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Tranmere Rovers
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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Swindon Town

Tranmere
2 - 1
Swindon

Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

 Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
39.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 36.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.175 0.17)41.18% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.17599999999999 0.18)63.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.096999999999994 0.1)21.17% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.155 0.16)54.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)22.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.104 0.1)55.82% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.14%
    Swindon Town 36.8%
    Draw 24.05%
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Swindon

Tranmere Rovers
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Swindon Town
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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