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Serie A
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Dacia Arena
Roma logo

Udinese
1 - 2
Roma

Pereyra (23')
Kamara (31'), Bijol (58'), Payero (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukaku (64'), Cristante (90+5')
Baldanzi (69'), Karsdorp (90+3'), Karsdorp (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Hellas Verona vs. Udinese
Saturday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Next Game: Roma vs. AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Udinese 0-2 Roma

 Since Udinese won 4-0 in their last home game against Roma, back in September 2022, much has changed at both clubs. A similar result in the visitors' favour is not totally improbable on this occasion, but the Giallorossi's margin of victory may just be a little narrower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawRoma
29.56% (-0.044 -0.04) 26.37% (-0.187 -0.19) 44.07% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (0.72 0.72)53.33% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (0.606 0.61)74.87% (-0.602 -0.6)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.34099999999999 0.34)32.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (0.379 0.38)69.3% (-0.375 -0.38)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.43599999999999 0.44)24.06% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.61499999999999 0.61)58.34% (-0.611 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 29.56%
    Roma 44.07%
    Draw 26.37%
UdineseDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.56%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Roma

Udinese
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Roma
70.0%
80
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
3-1
Udinese
Mancini (20'), Dybala (81'), El Shaarawy (90')
Pellegrini (33')
Thauvin (57')
Ferreira (19'), Samardzic (26'), Success (27')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
1-0
Udinese
Abraham (36')
Pellegrini (56'), Cristante (65'), Calafiori (66')
Pellegrini (90')

Walace (32')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
2Napoli18132327121541
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1811253325835
5Fiorentina1795331151632
6Juventus18711030151532
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese187382328-524
10Roma185582424020
11Torino185581924-520
12Empoli184771721-419
13Genoa184771627-1119
14Parma184682534-918
15Como184682030-1018
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1860122442-1818
17Lecce1844101131-2016
18CagliariCagliari1835101631-1514
19VeneziaVenezia1834111731-1413
20Monza1817101625-910
> Serie A Full Table


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