MX23RW : Tuesday, February 4 04:38:58| >> :600:178596:178596:
Brighton logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Roma logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
51.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.012 -0.01)69.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%
    Roma 24.31%
    Draw 24.02%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Brighton vs Roma

Brighton & Hove Albion
51.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
38.3%
196
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Roma
4-0
Brighton
Dybala (13'), Lukaku (43'), Mancini (64'), Cristante (68')
Spinazzola (61')

Paul van Hecke (38'), Lamptey (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!