MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:41:36| >> :120:21791:21791:
Brighton logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Roma logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
51.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.012 -0.01)69.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%
    Roma 24.31%
    Draw 24.02%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Brighton vs Roma

Brighton & Hove Albion
51.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
38.3%
196
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Roma
4-0
Brighton
Dybala (13'), Lukaku (43'), Mancini (64'), Cristante (68')
Spinazzola (61')

Paul van Hecke (38'), Lamptey (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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