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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Madrid logo

Valencia
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')

The Match

Match Report

Jude Bellingham nets a 95th-minute winner as 10-man Real Madrid record a 2-1 victory over Valencia in Friday night's La Liga affair.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Friday's La Liga contest with Valencia at Mestalla.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-2 Alaves
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
Sunday, December 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 25.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
25.37% (-0.38 -0.38) 25.87% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09) 48.76% (0.471 0.47)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)53.84% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.064 0.06)75.3% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.281 -0.28)36.36% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.287 -0.29)73.14% (0.28699999999999 0.29)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.242 0.24)22.1% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.363 0.36)55.46% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 25.37%
    Real Madrid 48.76%
    Draw 25.87%
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.21% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.11% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.09% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.37%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.16% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.66% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 48.76%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Valencia
11.5%
Draw
8.8%
Real Madrid
79.6%
226
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
(Aggregate 1-1 | Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties)
Benzema (39' pen.)
Lino (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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