Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 37.83%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 30.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.71%) and 2-1 (6.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.36%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
37.83% ( -1.79) | 31.33% ( -0.06) | 30.84% ( 1.84) |
Both teams to score 38.39% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.71% ( 0.5) | 69.29% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.22% ( 0.32) | 86.77% ( -0.32) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% ( -0.87) | 35.49% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( -0.91) | 72.25% ( 0.91) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.51% ( 1.79) | 40.49% ( -1.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.9% ( 1.58) | 77.09% ( -1.58) |
Score Analysis |
Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.64) 2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.82% | 0-0 @ 14.36% ( -0.27) 1-1 @ 13.45% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.31% | 0-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.34% Total : 30.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |