Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
37.93% ( 0.11) | 28.6% ( -0.03) | 33.47% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 45.86% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.45% ( 0.09) | 60.55% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.34% ( 0.07) | 80.66% ( -0.06) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.11) | 30.82% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.9% ( 0.13) | 67.1% ( -0.12) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( -0) | 33.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( -0.01) | 70.37% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |