Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Nacional
It has been a difficult first half of the season for newly-promoted Nacional, who find themselves languishing at the wrong end of the table heading into the new year. Guimaraes, meanwhile, made it seven straight home games without defeat with their midweek stalemate against Fiorentina, claiming five wins and two draws, and we are backing them to see off the Alvinegros, who have struggled to impose themselves on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Nacional |
67.94% ( -0.15) | 20.09% ( 0.26) | 11.97% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 42.93% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
