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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Santa Clara

Nacional
2 - 0
Santa Clara

Aguiar Tomich (9'), Macedo (13' pen.)
Ulisses (24'), Thomas (49'), Dias (74'), Franca (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ramos (43'), Rocha (43'), Safira (50'), Klismahn (54'), Adriano (64'), Silva (74'), Lima (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Nacional
Tuesday, October 29 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Santa Clara
Wednesday, October 30 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Santa Clara

Nacional and Santa Clara come into this one off the back of crashing out of the Taca da Liga and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result. Matos's men have enjoyed the better of this fixture, and given their solid form in the league, we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
30.42% (0.652 0.65) 26.18% (0.222 0.22) 43.4% (-0.87 -0.87)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.617 -0.62)52.23% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.535 -0.54)73.94% (0.538 0.54)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.15199999999999 0.15)31.55% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.173 0.17)67.95% (-0.16900000000001 -0.17)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.09% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)23.91% (0.692 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.88% (-0.998 -1)58.12% (1.001 1)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 30.42%
    Santa Clara 43.4%
    Draw 26.18%
NacionalDrawSanta Clara
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.247 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.18% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 5.02% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.93% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.42%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.184 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 10.79% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.68% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 43.4%

How you voted: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional
13.2%
Draw
10.5%
Santa Clara
76.3%
38
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2024 6pm
Round of 16
Santa Clara
1-1
Nacional
(Aggregate 1-1 | Santa Clara win 4-2 on penalties)
Klismahn (111')
Lima (25'), Serginho (30'), Manuel Velazquez (77')
Dudu (120+3' pen.)
Marakis (98'), Esteves (106')
Apr 11, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 26
Santa Clara
5-1
Nacional
Villanueva (4'), Costa (35', 47'), Carlos (79'), Ukra (90+6' pen.)
Lincoln (14'), Ramos (69')
Correia (66')
Thill (8'), Kalindi (77'), Correia (90+6')
Dec 6, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
1-3
Santa Clara
Gorre (38')
Pedrao (33'), Gorre (63'), Micael (72')
Carlos (23'), Rashid (34' pen.), Thiago (86' pen.)
Ramos (48'), Costinha (69')
Feb 24, 2019 3.30pm
Gameweek 23
Santa Clara
2-0
Nacional
Chrien (64'), Schettine (91')
Ramos (40'), Patrick (53'), Cardoso (82')

Marakis (9'), Palocevic (40'), Riascos (94')
Marakis (32')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
0-3
Santa Clara

Julio (80')
Fernando (4'), Rashid (67'), Pineda (76')
Patrick (28'), Fernando (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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