MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 11:16:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
Benfica

Nacional
A-A
Benfica

aban.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, September 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Atletico
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Nacional 0-4 Benfica

While Nacional will be looking to build on last weekend's stalemate with Famalicao, they have their work cut out against a Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two teams, we are backing Lage's men to come away with a comfortable victory at the Estadio da Madeira. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (3.63%).

Result
NacionalDrawBenfica
12.46% (0.296 0.3) 17.34% (0.105 0.11) 70.19% (-0.396 -0.4)
Both teams to score 53.76% (0.585 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54% (0.28299999999999 0.28)36.46% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (0.307 0.31)58.6% (-0.303 -0.3)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.27% (0.658 0.66)40.73% (-0.655 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.69% (0.586 0.59)77.31% (-0.581 -0.58)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.71% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)9.29% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.63% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.37% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 12.46%
    Benfica 70.19%
    Draw 17.34%
NacionalDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 3.63% (0.076 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.4% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.29% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.09% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 12.46%
1-1 @ 8.08% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.79% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.34%
0-2 @ 10.68% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 8.46% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 7.6% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 5.03% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (0.065 0.07)
0-5 @ 2.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-5 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.03% (0.036 0.04)
2-5 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
0-6 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 70.19%

How you voted: Nacional vs Benfica

Nacional
6.5%
Draw
4.3%
Benfica
89.1%
46
Head to Head
May 11, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 32
Nacional
1-3
Benfica
Pedrao (8')
Vigario (60')
Pedrao (78' og.), Ramos (81', 86')
Chiquinho (34'), Gilberto (55'), Grimaldo (80')
Jan 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 15
Benfica
1-1
Nacional
Chiquinho (14')
Jardel (71')
Rochez (48')
Pedrao (80'), Micael (90+2')
Feb 10, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Benfica
10-0
Nacional
Grimaldo (1'), Seferovic (21', 27'), Felix (50'), Pizzi (54' pen.), Ferreira (56'), Dias (64'), Jonas (85', 90'), Silva (88')
Samaris (20')
Sep 2, 2018 6.30pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
0-4
Benfica

Marakis (34')
Seferovic (28'), Salvio (45'), Grimaldo (76'), Silva (93')
Semedo (49'), Jardel (51'), Cervi (68')
Feb 5, 2017 6pm
Benfica
3-0
Nacional
Jonas (26', 35'), Mitroglou (81')
Jonas (33'), Ederson (59')

Washington (34'), Mezga (43'), Rodrigues (52'), Zequinha (56'), Correia (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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