Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 14.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
63.9% ( -0.34) | 21.21% ( 0.28) | 14.88% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( -1.07) | 48.47% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( -0.98) | 70.6% ( 0.98) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.51% ( -0.45) | 14.49% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.52% ( -0.87) | 42.48% ( 0.87) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.28% ( -0.57) | 44.72% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.29% ( -0.47) | 80.71% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 12.51% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.89% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.75% Total : 21.21% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 14.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |