Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 20.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.51%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
20.38% ( 0.51) | 24.11% ( 0.36) | 55.51% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 48.94% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.28% ( -0.8) | 51.72% ( 0.79) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.5% ( -0.7) | 73.49% ( 0.69) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.06% ( 0.09) | 39.94% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.4% ( 0.08) | 76.6% ( -0.08) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% ( -0.62) | 18.5% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% ( -1.06) | 49.72% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.32% Total : 20.38% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 10.51% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 55.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |