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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vicarage Road
West Brom logo

Watford
2 - 1
West Brom

Issouf Bayo (35', 50')
Sissoko (21'), Louza (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molumby (68')
Molumby (53'), Fellows (81'), Swift (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Watford
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Coventry
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Looking to extend their Championship unbeaten run at Vicarage Road to 10 matches for the season, Watford will pose a serious test for West Brom this weekend. The Baggies were arguably lucky to win by two goals against Coventry last time out, and we reckon that the visitors will have to fight extremely hard for a point at Vicarage Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
41.17% (-0.47300000000001 -0.47) 27.05% (0.035999999999998 0.04) 31.79% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 49.97% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.8% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)55.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)76.44% (0.0089999999999861 0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.61% (-0.255 -0.25)26.39% (0.257 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.45% (-0.342 -0.34)61.55% (0.342 0.34)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.303 0.3)32.11% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.342 0.34)68.59% (-0.34 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Watford 41.17%
    West Bromwich Albion 31.79%
    Draw 27.04%
WatfordDrawWest Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 11.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.34% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.63% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.092 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.79%

How you voted: Watford vs West Brom

Watford
34.8%
Draw
45.5%
West Bromwich Albion
19.7%
66
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
West Brom
2-2
Watford
Thomas-Asante (70'), Furlong (90+1')
Kayembe (51'), Rajovic (66')
Dennis (30')
Sep 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Watford
2-2
West Brom
Ince (3'), Martins (23')
Porteous (53'), Louza (90+5')
Swift (14'), Wallace (17')
Molumby (26')
Feb 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Watford
3-2
West Brom
Sema (23', 78'), Sarr (66')
Townsend (56'), Wallace (71')
Aug 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
1-1
Watford
Grant (45+2')
Molumby (45'), Furlong (69')
Sarr (12')
Kabasele (74')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Watford
0-0
West Brom
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Millwall257992423130
14Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
15Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
16Queens Park RangersQPR2561182733-629
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2574142642-1625
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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