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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Bristol City

Watford
1 - 0
Bristol City

Andrews (54')
Sierralta (46'), Issouf Bayo (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Twine (72'), Pring (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 2-2 Watford
Friday, November 22 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-1 Bristol City

Both sides have made strong starts to the 2024-25 season, but the hosts have been formidable at home, yet to lose any of their seven league games, and we believe the hosts will extend that run with a win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawBristol City
44.87% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 26.53% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 28.6% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.57% (0.088000000000001 0.09)54.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)24.16% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)58.48% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.95% (0.117 0.12)34.04% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.128 0.13)70.73% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Watford 44.86%
    Bristol City 28.6%
    Draw 26.52%
WatfordDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.68% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.86%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 28.6%

How you voted: Watford vs Bristol City

Watford
75.4%
Draw
8.2%
Bristol City
16.4%
61
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Bristol City
1-1
Watford
Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Watford
1-4
Bristol City
Chakvetadze (49')
Hoedt (80')
Pring (28'), Hoedt (45+2' og.), Sykes (50'), Weimann (83')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Watford
2-0
Bristol City
Cornick (6' og.), Pedro (54')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Watford
6-0
Bristol City
Moore (2' og.), Sarr (15', 55'), Hughes (30'), Sema (35'), Zinckernagel (90')
Chalobah (17'), Pedro (81')

Moore (7'), Diedhiou (47'), Palmer (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1711422491535
2Burnley179622161533
3Sunderland1796226121433
4Leeds UnitedLeeds1695228121632
5Watford179262624229
6Middlesbrough1683529191027
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom176921811727
8Millwall166641914524
9Norwich CityNorwich175753125622
10Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
11Bristol City175752021-122
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds176472026-622
13Stoke CityStoke175661920-121
14Derby CountyDerby165562020020
15Swansea CitySwansea165471414019
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry174582225-317
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd174581927-817
19Preston North EndPreston173861624-817
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth174581834-1617
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City173681623-715
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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