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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
44.87% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( -0.01) | 28.6% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.57% ( 0.09) | 54.43% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.2% ( 0.07) | 75.8% ( -0.08) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.84% ( -0.01) | 24.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.52% ( -0) | 58.48% ( -0) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( 0.12) | 34.04% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% ( 0.13) | 70.73% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.68% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.86% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 48 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 48 |
3 | Burnley | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 30 | 9 | 21 | 47 |
4 | Sunderland | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 38 |
6 | Watford | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 36 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 33 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 30 |
11 | Bristol City | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 29 |
13 | Millwall | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 27 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 25 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Portsmouth | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 20 |
22 | Hull City | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 18 |
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