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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Oxford United

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United

Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawOxford United
53.8% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.82% (0.026 0.03) 22.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)48.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)48.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.79%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Watford vs Oxford Utd

Watford
80.6%
Draw
11.0%
Oxford United
8.4%
155
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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