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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Oxford United

Watford
1 - 0
Oxford Utd

Issouf Bayo (54')
Porteous (34'), Baah (38'), Ebosele (62'), Issouf Bayo (75'), Morris (90+3'), Cleverley (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McEachran (45+1'), Moore (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Hull City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Watford 3-1 Oxford United

Aiming to maintain their near-perfect record at Vicarage Road this season, we see Watford having the quality to come out on top in another high-scoring contest on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawOxford United
53.8% (-0.067 -0.07) 23.82% (0.026 0.03) 22.38% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.55% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)48.31% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)70.46% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)17.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)48.65% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)36.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.79%
    Oxford United 22.38%
    Draw 23.81%
WatfordDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.79%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.38%

How you voted: Watford vs Oxford Utd

Watford
80.6%
Draw
11.0%
Oxford United
8.4%
155
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
Watford
(Aggregate 1-1 | Watford win 3-0 on penalties)
Hall (26')
Sema (89')
Navarro (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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