MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:55:09| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Watford

Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (0.052 0.05) 24.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.044999999999995 0.04)46.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.43% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Watford
62.1%
87
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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