MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 23:09:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Watford logo

Plymouth
2 - 2
Watford

Gray (23', 90+6')
Mumba (1'), Gibson (54')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Issouf Bayo (9'), Porteous (41')
Porteous (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford

Given their contrasting home and away records, many will back Plymouth to come through this contest. However, we are backing an entertaining share of the spoils, a result that would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
39.21% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 23.45% (0.251 0.25) 37.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 63.57% (-1 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.289 -1.29)38.14% (1.29 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.59% (-1.385 -1.39)60.41% (1.387 1.39)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (-0.58499999999999 -0.58)19.83% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (-0.954 -0.95)51.91% (0.95699999999999 0.96)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)20.71% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-1.052 -1.05)53.32% (1.054 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 39.21%
    Watford 37.34%
    Draw 23.45%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawWatford
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.286 0.29)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 39.21%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 6.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.248 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.24% (0.026 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.47% (0.266 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.09% (0.109 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.32% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.7% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.38% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 37.34%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Watford

Plymouth Argyle
36.2%
Draw
21.7%
Watford
42.1%
152
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2024 7.45pm
Second Round
Watford
2-0
Plymouth
Rajovic (17', 73')
Morris (41'), Dele-Bashiru (45'), Tikvic (84')

Houghton (45+1')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Plymouth
3-3
Watford
Azaz (20'), Whittaker (27'), Hardie (42')
Mumba (59'), Randell (86')
Kayembe (11'), Kone (38'), Andrews (57')
Livermore (43'), Healey (87'), Asprilla (88'), Martins (88')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
0-0
Plymouth
Scarr (71'), Mumba (78')
Apr 10, 2010 3pm
Sep 15, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
0-1
Watford

Timar (27'), Arnason (37'), McNamee (43')
rhs 2.0
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Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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