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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Watford had a probability of 37.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
39.21% ( -0.06) | 23.45% ( 0.25) | 37.34% ( -0.19) |
Both teams to score 63.57% ( -1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.86% ( -1.29) | 38.14% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.59% ( -1.39) | 60.41% ( 1.39) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.17% ( -0.58) | 19.83% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.09% ( -0.95) | 51.91% ( 0.96) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.29% ( -0.66) | 20.71% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.68% ( -1.05) | 53.32% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 39.21% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.25) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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