Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.