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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 55.43%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
55.43% ( 2.36) | 21.58% ( -0.26) | 23% ( -2.1) |
Both teams to score 60.98% ( -1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.46% ( -1.04) | 37.54% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.23% ( -1.13) | 59.77% ( 1.13) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( 0.38) | 13.53% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.41% ( 0.76) | 40.59% ( -0.76) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( -2.23) | 29.48% ( 2.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( -2.81) | 65.48% ( 2.81) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.47) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.27) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.68% Total : 55.43% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.18) Other @ 3.14% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 15 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 12 | 44 | 42 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 35 |
3 | Ajax | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 33 |
4 | Feyenoord | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 32 |
5 | FC Twente | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 26 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 22 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
10 | Heerenveen | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 18 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Willem II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 34 | -27 | 6 |
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