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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
41.58% ( 0.86) | 23.09% ( -0.19) | 35.33% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 64.68% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.42% ( 0.83) | 36.57% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.27% ( 0.9) | 58.72% ( -0.9) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.88% ( 0.72) | 18.12% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.93% ( 1.21) | 49.07% ( -1.21) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.04) | 21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.22% ( 0.06) | 53.78% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.82% Total : 41.58% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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