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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 85.14%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 4-0 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.63%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
85.14% ( 0.01) | 9.18% ( -0.01) | 5.67% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 59.17% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.99% ( 0.01) | 17.01% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
66.29% ( 0.02) | 33.71% ( -0.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.25% ( 0) | 2.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.36% ( 0.01) | 12.64% ( -0.02) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% ( -0) | 39.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% ( -0) | 75.87% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 8.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( -0) 5-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 5-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 6-0 @ 3.22% ( 0) 6-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 5-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.65% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) 6-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 5.55% Total : 85.14% | 1-1 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.14% 0-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 9.18% | 1-2 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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