We said: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Bolton Wanderers
Wycombe showed their mettle to recover from three games without a win by thrashing Shrewsbury last weekend, and will feel confident of remaining top of League One on Christmas Day with another here.
Bolton have a very tricky festive schedule, but even though they have proven themselves capable of competing with anyone this season, they may come up narrowly short in this encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.