MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:15:59| >> :600:241138:241138:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Collins (26', 90+1')
Forrester (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graydon (52')
Hughes (24'), Patterson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Home advantage and a determination to put things right after recent results should see Bolton claim both victory and a place in the next stage. As Fleetwood are burdened by several absences, they will not mind too much if they can be left to concentrate on their League Two campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
57.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 20.9% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.57% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.4% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)36.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)58.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.11699999999999 0.12)29.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.14100000000001 0.14)65.98% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.53%
    Fleetwood Town 21.57%
    Draw 20.9%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fleetwood
0-2
Bolton

Wiredu (36'), Asamoah (82')
Charles (49'), Adeboyejo (83')
Thomason (41')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bolton
3-1
Fleetwood
Adeboyejo (3', 14', 37')
Thomason (28'), Charles (45+1'), Ashworth (86')
Ross Evatt (11'), Charles (67')
Earl (90+3')
Johnston (10'), Broom (47'), Omochere (54'), Vela (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
2-0
Fleetwood
Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Mendes Gomes (16')
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!