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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
46.84% ( 0.28) | 24.98% ( 0.11) | 28.18% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 54.56% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( -0.7) | 48.38% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( -0.64) | 70.52% ( 0.64) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.3% ( -0.16) | 20.69% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.7% ( -0.26) | 53.29% ( 0.26) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( -0.65) | 31.2% ( 0.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( -0.77) | 67.54% ( 0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.84% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Blackpool | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Stevenage | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 24 |
15 | Exeter CityExeter | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 24 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 22 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 11 |
> League One Full Table |