MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 14:53:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Bolton logo
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Wigan logo

Bolton
0 - 2
Wigan


Johnston (9'), Santos (14'), Thomason (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (18'), Aasgaard (67')
Smith (20'), Sessegnon (26'), Carragher (72'), Taylor (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Wigan Athletic

Bolton at home is usually a foregone conclusion from the first whistle, as Evatt's men have turned the Toughsheet Community Stadium into a fortress of late, even if they have struggled for clean sheets. As Wigan are out of sorts and looking a bit light up top, their stronghold over the Trotters should cease as Bolton beat the Latics in a competitive game for the first time since 2015. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
54.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 22.29% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.032000000000004 0.03)67.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)16.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.98% (0.039999999999999 0.04)46.02% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)34.29% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 54.67%
    Wigan Athletic 22.29%
    Draw 23.04%
Bolton WanderersDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 54.67%
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.04%
0-1 @ 6.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Bolton vs Wigan

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
14.3%
Wigan Athletic
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 27
Wigan
1-0
Bolton
Humphrys (69')
Magennis (45'), Smith (60'), Smith (77')

Maghoma (7'), Ogbeta (24'), Thomason (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Iredale (53'), Jones (72')
Wyke (12', 75'), Humphrys (24', 45+4')
Humphrys (45'), Watts (56'), Adeeko (80')
Apr 2, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 41
Wigan
1-1
Bolton
McClean (7')
McClean (16')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Bolton
0-4
Wigan

Johnston (27'), Santos (64'), Thomason (87')
Keane (6'), McClean (51', 81'), Lang (65')
Cousins (48'), Lang (56'), Pearce (77'), Massey (86')
Aug 24, 2021 7.45pm
Second Round
Wigan
0-0
Bolton
(Aggregate 0-0 | Wigan win 5-4 on penalties)
Smith (38'), Darikwa (41'), McClean (43'), Power (44'), Pearce (60')
Kachunga (45+1'), Afolayan (75'), Lee (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!