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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Bolton logo

Stevenage
1 - 4
Bolton

Kemp (71')
Revell (32'), Phillips (67'), Wildin (80'), Butler (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Santos (13'), McAtee (16'), Adeboyejo (61'), Charles (88')
Sheehan (31'), Johnston (59'), Santos (73'), Southwood (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Stevenage and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton will be full of confidence after winning five of their last seven league matches, and we think that they will claim another win in Tuesday's away clash, especially as Stevenage have lost three of their previous four games in the third tier. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.15%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawBolton Wanderers
36.09% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 26.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 37.15% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.22000000000001 0.22)53.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.186 0.19)74.9% (-0.185 -0.19)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (0.143 0.14)28.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.17899999999999 0.18)64.15% (-0.179 -0.18)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (0.099999999999994 0.1)27.77% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.65% (0.128 0.13)63.35% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 36.09%
    Bolton Wanderers 37.15%
    Draw 26.74%
StevenageDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.93% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.01% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 36.09%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 37.15%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Bolton

Stevenage
12.2%
Draw
10.2%
Bolton Wanderers
77.6%
49
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Stevenage
0-0
Bolton
Sheehan (75'), Maghoma (76')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bolton
3-2
Stevenage
Charles (13' pen.), Iredale (49'), Sheehan (70')
Thomason (28'), Iredale (44'), Jerome (64')
Reid (20', 65')
Reid (68'), Sweeney (69')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-0
Stevenage
John (7')
Thomason (85')
Williams (78')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Stevenage
1-2
Bolton
Pett (44')
Iontton (58'), Pett (62')
Doyle (14'), Crawford (36')
Tutte (54'), Delaney (86'), Sarcevic (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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