Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 58.61%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.01% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-2 (5.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.