Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.