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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
2 - 0
Cruz Azul

Aguirre (5'), Rocha (72')
Lozano (85')
Lozano (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iturbide (37'), Rivero (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Atlas and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlas

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Atlas
Monday, May 15 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, May 7 at 12am in Liga MX

We said: Atlas 1-1 Cruz Azul

 Atlas did not possess a great record in front of their own fans last season, winning just five games in total, while Cruz Azul were not great travellers either, so we think this will be a closely-fought contest. The first game of the season tends to be a tentative affair, so we think both teams will be slow out of the blocks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
AtlasDrawCruz Azul
45.15% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15) 26.39% (0.101 0.1) 28.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 50.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (-0.36 -0.36)53.97% (0.36300000000001 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (-0.304 -0.3)75.41% (0.30500000000001 0.31)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (-0.23 -0.23)23.82% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (-0.333 -0.33)57.99% (0.335 0.34)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.148 -0.15)33.91% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.161 -0.16)70.59% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 45.15%
    Cruz Azul 28.45%
    Draw 26.39%
AtlasDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.72% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 28.45%

How you voted: Atlas vs Cruz Azul

Atlas
56.3%
Draw
31.3%
Cruz Azul
12.5%
16
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 12am
Cruz Azul
0-1
Atlas
Feb 23, 2023 2.05am
Gameweek 7
Cruz Azul
1-0
Atlas
Jul 16, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 3
Atlas
3-2
Cruz Azul
Herrera (10'), Marquez (70'), Quinones (82')
Santamaria (28')
Gimenez (21'), Tabo (86')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Lira (45+7'), Escobar (66'), Tabo (76')
Rotondi (45+5')
Apr 3, 2022 12am
Gameweek 12
Cruz Azul
1-0
Atlas
Gimenez (38')
Rivero (90+2')

Aguirre (31'), Zaldivar (34'), Trejo (47')
Oct 20, 2021 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Atlas
0-0
Cruz Azul
Santamaria (18'), Torres (27'), Rocha (90')
Yotun (29'), Angulo (53'), Escobar (87'), Aguilar (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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