Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Apr 30, 2023 at 4.05am UK

Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Santos Laguna

Lotti (31'), Huescas (41'), Uriel (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Medina (87'), Correa (90+3' pen.)

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions

Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Santos Laguna

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 0-2 Queretaro
Monday, April 24 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Santos Laguna
41.23% ( -0.84)	24.84% ( -0.04)	33.93% ( 0.89)

Both teams to score 57.86% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.67% (

0.43)

45.33% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.33% (

0.41)

67.67% (

-0.41)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.03% (

-0.22)

21.97% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.74% (

-0.33)

55.26% (

0.33)

Santos Laguna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.14% (

0.74)

25.86% (

-0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.17% (

0.99)

60.83% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 41.23%

Santos Laguna 33.93%

Draw 24.84%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Santos Laguna
2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.93%