Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Caliente
Tijuana5 - 1Juarez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Juarez.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 1-0 Tijuana
Sunday, September 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 24 at 2am in Liga MX
Next Game: Santos Laguna vs. Tijuana
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Thursday, October 5 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Atlas
Saturday, September 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 23 at 2am in Liga MX
Next Game: Monterrey vs. Juarez
Sunday, October 8 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, October 8 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.94%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
Result | ||
Club Tijuana | Draw | Juarez |
45.94% ( 0.57) | 25.5% ( -0.14) | 28.56% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% ( 0.37) | 50.35% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% ( 0.33) | 72.29% ( -0.32) |
Club Tijuana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% ( 0.42) | 21.91% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% ( 0.63) | 55.17% ( -0.62) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% ( -0.12) | 31.94% ( 0.12) |