Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.