Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.