Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 54.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.