Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.