Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.