MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 11:45:21| >> :60:61:61:
Vancouver Whitecaps
Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 4, 2024 at 3am UK
BC Place Stadium

Vancouver
3 - 1
Tijuana

Picault (49'), Johnson (78'), Vite (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castaneda (8')
Castaneda (25'), Gomez (75')
Mejia (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Leagues Cup clash between Vancouver Whitecaps and Club Tijuana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 3-0 Tijuana
Saturday, July 27 at 4am in Leagues Cup

We said: Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 Club Tijuana

There are too many question marks surrounding the Tijuana backline for us to believe they can contain a side as potent in transition as the Whitecaps have been through the 2024 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.

Result
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawClub Tijuana
44.64% (1.261 1.26) 22.38% (0.0039999999999978 0) 32.98% (-1.265 -1.27)
Both teams to score 66.63% (-0.497 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.27% (-0.461 -0.46)33.73% (0.462 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.44% (-0.527 -0.53)55.56% (0.528 0.53)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (0.29100000000001 0.29)15.77% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.11% (0.531 0.53)44.9% (-0.531 -0.53)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.1% (-0.866 -0.87)20.9% (0.866 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.38% (-1.374 -1.37)53.62% (1.374 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Vancouver Whitecaps 44.64%
    Club Tijuana 32.98%
    Draw 22.38%
Vancouver WhitecapsDrawClub Tijuana
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 6.09% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.145 0.15)
3-2 @ 4.24% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.182 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.09 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.099 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.065 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.21% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 32.98%

How you voted: Vancouver vs Tijuana

Vancouver Whitecaps
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Club Tijuana
4.8%
21
rhs 2.0
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