Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 28, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 1-5 Toluca
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, April 20 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
49.64% ( -0.73) | 23.37% ( 0.23) | 26.98% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
