MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 16:14:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 14, 2024 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
5 - 1
Toluca

Valdes (9', 24'), Martin (15'), Quinones (73', 82')
Calderon (19'), Lichnovsky (50'), Fidalgo (90+2'), Quinones (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dominguez (14')
Escobar (49'), Ruiz (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club America

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: America 5-2 New England
Wednesday, April 10 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawToluca
57.31% (-0.401 -0.4) 21.24% (0.372 0.37) 21.44% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-1.313 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-1.741 -1.74)37.9% (1.736 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.84% (-1.884 -1.88)60.16% (1.879 1.88)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.91% (-0.678 -0.68)13.08% (0.675 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.3% (-1.395 -1.4)39.69% (1.39 1.39)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (-0.968 -0.97)31.03% (0.963 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.66% (-1.149 -1.15)67.34% (1.144 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Club America 57.31%
    Toluca 21.44%
    Draw 21.24%
Club AmericaDrawToluca
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.274 0.27)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.472 0.47)
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.147 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.329 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.268 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 21.44%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 9
Toluca
1-1
America
Araujo (54')
Huerta (44')
Belmonte (84')
Valdes (25')
Jan 15, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 2
Toluca
2-2
America
Gonzalez (8'), Orrantia (23')
Rodriguez (16'), Martin (76' pen.)
Oct 23, 2022 2.06am
America
1-1
Toluca
Oct 20, 2022 3.06am
Toluca
2-1
America
Jul 14, 2022 3am
Gameweek 3
America
1-0
Toluca
Sanchez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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