Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jan 20, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca4 - 1Mazatlan
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Mazatlan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Queretaro 2-2 Toluca
Saturday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 13 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-1 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, January 13 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, January 13 at 3am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 19.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 1-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Mazatlan |
60.14% ( 0.11) | 20.22% ( -0.03) | 19.64% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
