Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Apr 7, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 2Monterrey
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Monterrey 2-2 Atletico San Luis (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Sunday, May 8 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Santos Laguna vs. Monterrey
Monday, July 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Monday, July 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Mazatlan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 27.59% | 25% | 47.41% |
| Both teams to score 54.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.16% | 48.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.06% | 70.93% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% | 31.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.68% | 68.32% |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% | 20.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.8% | 53.2% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 27.59%
Monterrey 47.41%
Draw 25%
| Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 7.52% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.59% | 1-1 @ 11.86% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 8.19% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-3 @ 4.31% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.41% |
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2021 1.06am
Monterrey
2-0
Toluca
Cristante (33'), Ortega (40'), Rigonato Rodrigues (86'), Pardo (90+3'), Lopez (90+4')
Jul 29, 2020 1am
Monterrey
3-1
Toluca
Medina (46')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Sauro (19'), Cisneros (75')
Feb 29, 2020 1am
Aug 18, 2019 3.06am
