Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Apr 3, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 1Puebla
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Puebla.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Club Leon 4-4 Toluca
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Monday, May 2 at 2.06am in Liga MX
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Toluca
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 1am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Tigres | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Toluca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: America 3-2 Puebla
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, May 15 at 12am in Liga MX
Next Game: Mazatlan vs. Puebla
Saturday, July 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, July 2 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Pachuca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Puebla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Pumas | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
| 32.94% | 26.4% | 40.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.68% | 52.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.99% | 74.01% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% | 29.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.04% | 65.96% |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% | 25.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% | 60.13% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 32.94%
Puebla 40.65%
Draw 26.39%
| Toluca | Draw | Puebla |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 5.53% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.94% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.62% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.26% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.35% 0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.65% |
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 1am
Puebla
1-0
Toluca
Tabo (60' pen.)
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Martinez (62'), Herrera Rodriguez (85'), Aristeguieta (90+6')
Rodriguez (62')
Mar 21, 2021 6pm
Toluca
4-4
Puebla
Estrada (32', 87'), Canelo (53' pen.), Rigonato Rodrigues (77')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ortega (18'), Baeza (46'), Rigonato Rodrigues (90+3')
Ormeno (57' pen.), Segovia (60'), Aguilar (86'), Alvarez (89')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Gularte (30'), Larcamon (79')
Gularte (51')
Aug 29, 2020 1.30am
Puebla
4-1
Toluca
Ormeno (31'), Alvarez (40'), Gonzalez (81'), Escoto (90')
Alvarez (40')
Alvarez (40')
Feb 22, 2020 3am
Oct 6, 2019 6pm
