MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:58:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 2, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
0 - 0
Necaxa


Baeza (36'), Morales (70')
FT

Gonzalez (10'), Poggi (52'), Esquivel (64'), Formiliano (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Tigres
Sunday, May 14 at 7pm in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 30 at 7pm in Liga MX

We said: Toluca 2-0 Necaxa

 Toluca have won the last four meetings between these two sides, so it is difficult to see anything other than a home victory. In addition, the visitors have a tendency to start the season slowly, losing their first match of the season for the past three seasons running. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawNecaxa
61.06% (0.407 0.41) 21.91% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 17.04% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.84% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.48% (-0.293 -0.29)47.52% (0.294 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.27% (-0.27 -0.27)69.73% (0.27199999999999 0.27)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.92% (0.034000000000006 0.03)15.08% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.39% (0.063000000000002 0.06)43.61% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.69% (-0.592 -0.59)41.31% (0.595 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.17% (-0.529 -0.53)77.83% (0.53 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 61.05%
    Necaxa 17.04%
    Draw 21.9%
TolucaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.78% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.14% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 61.05%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.9%
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.36% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 17.04%

How you voted: Toluca vs Necaxa

Toluca
100%
Draw
0.0%
Necaxa
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 17
Toluca
3-0
Necaxa
Fernandez (31' pen.), Gonzalez (52'), Volpi (71' pen.)
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Necaxa
1-3
Toluca
Formiliano (39')
Araos (54'), Mendez (68'), Villalpando (74')
Fernandez (3'), Huerta (24'), Sanvezzo (69' pen.)
Fernandez (25'), Volpi (32'), Baeza (49')
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Gameweek 9
Necaxa
0-1
Toluca
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
1-1
Necaxa
Jan 24, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Toluca
2-0
Necaxa
Estrada (27' pen.), Plata (90+4')
Sambueza (33'), Rigonato Rodrigues (55')

Dominguez (26'), Cabrera (30'), de Luna (46'), Gonzalez (70')
Gonzalez (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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