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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 1
Necaxa

Vanegas (56')
Vanegas (67'), Sambueza (90+5')
Ortega (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zendejas (53')
Gonzalez (6'), Salas (24'), Medina (45')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawNecaxa
46.72%26.17%27.11%
Both teams to score 50.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18%53.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71%75.28%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98%23.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.17%56.82%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.63%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 46.71%
    Necaxa 27.11%
    Draw 26.16%
TolucaDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.79%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.64%
4-0 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 46.71%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 4.8%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.46%
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Jan 24, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 3
Toluca
2-0
Necaxa
Estrada (27' pen.), Plata (90+4')
Sambueza (33'), Rigonato Rodrigues (55')

Dominguez (26'), Cabrera (30'), de Luna (46'), Gonzalez (70')
Gonzalez (74')
Oct 31, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Necaxa
3-2
Toluca
Passerini (31'), Bilbao (61'), Zendejas (90+1')
Zendejas (56'), Gonzalez (84')
Cabrera (18' og.), Sambueza (72')
Ortega (14'), Estrada (34'), Sambueza (45+4'), da Silva (53'), Canelo (84')
Jan 19, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 2
Toluca
2-3
Necaxa
Fernandez (38'), Hernandez (45')
Quiroga (22', 92'), Doldan (80')
Gonzalez (30'), Noya (63'), Gonzalez (90')
Aug 29, 2019 3am
Gameweek 7
Necaxa
1-1
Toluca
Quiroga (12')
Gigliotti (37')
Mar 10, 2019 3am
Necaxa
1-1
Toluca
Contreras (67')
Alvarado (43'), Gallegos (55'), Marin (90')
Gigliotti (48')
Mora (12'), Mendoza (26'), Rios (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul108112381525
2TolucaToluca1063121101121
3Tigres10631146821
4MonterreyMonterrey116321513221
5Club TijuanaTijuana116231717020
6PumasPumas106131410419
7Atletico San Luis115241813517
8CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara10433158715
9Atlas104241215-314
10NecaxaNecaxa10343138513
11Club AmericaAmerica104151212013
12PueblaPuebla113261419-511
13PachucaPachuca112361119-89
14QueretaroQueretaro12237920-119
15MazatlanMazatlan11155813-58
16Club Leon101541016-68
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna10226917-88
18Juarez102171223-117


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