Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca1 - 1Pumas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 29 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-1 Pumas
Monday, September 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Monday, September 30 at 1am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 23.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
53.06% ( 0.38) | 23.53% ( 0.06) | 23.41% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.99% ( -0.74) | 46% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( -0.7) | 68.31% ( 0.7) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.7% ( -0.13) | 17.29% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.36% ( -0.23) | 47.64% ( 0.23) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.21% ( -0.79) | 33.79% ( 0.79) |