Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre0 - 1Strasbourg
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Strasbourg
Auxerre have made themselves difficult to beat at home this season, and we think that this trend will continue this weekend. The hosts have drawn seven times already in the league, and we think that there will be little to separate the two sides on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Strasbourg |
40.11% ( 0.07) | 26.26% ( 0.05) | 33.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( -0.22) | 51.6% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.6% ( -0.19) | 73.39% ( 0.19) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( -0.06) | 25.3% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.92% ( -0.09) | 60.08% ( 0.09) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( -0.18) | 29.07% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.01% ( -0.22) | 64.99% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Auxerre 40.1%
Strasbourg 33.62%
Draw 26.25%
| Auxerre | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.62% |
How you voted: Auxerre vs Strasbourg
Auxerre
33.3%Draw
45.2%Strasbourg
21.4%42
